The question of Who wins arises, Harris or Trump, as the US Elections are two weeks away, surveys have been coming up for a pre-poll analysis. Using it as a source, this article sums up the latest updates and the pre-poll preferences that both of the nominees have gained through their fierce campaigns.
The presidential elections in the United States are going to be conducted on November 5, 2024. The updates about the same and the analysis of a possible winner are further explained in the following sections of the latest updates, an analysis of who stands a chance of winning and conclusion.
Latest Updates:
Presidential candidates Kamal Harris and Donald Trump have led fierce campaigns against each other. Harris has remarked that “Trump is a threat to democracy” in her campaign speech. At the same time, Harris utilises the international situation of wars raging in Russia and Ukraine, as well as the Middle East, as a major argument against Trump. He in turn reverted the remark of threat to democracy to the Democratic party, as Harris is their candidate, stating the legal issue he faced in 2020 for standing up for an issue in elections. Through these arguments, both candidates fight each other to win the elections. However, the pre-poll survey has provided us with a result of this campaign fight.
An Analysis of Possible Winner: Harris or Trump?
Pre-poll surveys have been conducted by various news channels in the US, to analyze the public preference of presidential candidates in upcoming elections. Based on the above graph given by ABC News Agency on voter preferences for 2-24 US elections. Harris has gained 50% vote preferences from all adults, 49% preferences from registered voters, and 51 % vote preferences from likely voters. However, Trump is behind her with a small difference in preference percentages, i.e. 45% from all adults, 45% from registered voters and 45% from likely voters. As in elections, a small difference in votes makes a big difference in the decision of the winner. The numbers of pre-poll voter preferences show that Kamala Harris is likely to win the upcoming elections.
Conclusion:
As the elections are coming close and the pre-poll surveys are showing the possible results, the candidates are furthering their fights at a faster pace by continuing their campaign, public appearances, and interviews. The surveys showed the result based on US population preferences; however, the international images of the candidates provide the same result. As compared to Trump, Harris has a much more positive image held by people from other countries. Even though the pre-poll survey has given us a possible result, there is always a room for surprises and overnight turnovers of such a result.
